Borders, Barriers, and the Cost of Control

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canadaโ€™s Trade Strategy in 2025

In response to renewed tariffs from the Trump administration, ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada has adopted a measured approach to protect its economy while preserving diplomatic ties. Prime Minister Mark Carneyโ€™s government has lifted many retaliatory tariffs on ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. goods covered under CUSMA, aiming to reopen stalled negotiations and maintain ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canadaโ€™s trade advantage. This move has been praised by economists for keeping over 85% of ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada-๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. trade tariff-free, while still signaling strength through targeted countermeasures.

Provincial leaders have responded with a mix of concern and pragmatism. Ontario and Quebec are lobbying for federal support to shield manufacturing jobs, while British Columbia is accelerating trade diversification with Pacific partners. The situation remains fluid, but ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canadaโ€™s strategy reflects a balance of resilience and diplomacy in an increasingly unpredictable global market.

To understand ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canadaโ€™s position in a shifting global economy, explore the broader timeline of international trade policies.

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A timeline of tariff escalation and its global reverberations in 2025

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February 1

Initial tariffs announced under IEEPA

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico: 25% on all goods.
  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada: 25% on most goods, 10% on energy products.
February 3

Tariffs paused for 30 days Trump suspends ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada/๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico tariffs until March 4.

March 3 โ€“ Blanket Tariff Threat

Sweeping tariffs on all imports: 10% base, up to 25% for surplus nations.

  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China warns of retaliation.
  • ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EU calls it โ€œa major blow to global stabilityโ€.
  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada expresses โ€œdeep disappointmentโ€.
March 4

Tariffs go into effect ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada/๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico tariffs resume.

  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada 25% across the board, plus 10% on Canadian oil.
March 24โ€“30

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan responds with targeted tariffs on ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. electronics and agricultural goods.

Market reaction: Nikkei dips, ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. tech stocks wobble, soy futures slide.

April 1โ€“7

๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท South Korea and ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico announce joint WTO complaint against ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. tariffs. โ†’ Signals a shift toward multilateral resistance.

April 2โ€“3

โ€œLiberation Dayโ€ tariffs launched 25% tariffs on auto imports from ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada and ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico

April 4โ€“5

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada retaliates 25% tariffs on non-USMCA ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. auto imports

April 6 โ€“ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. Steel & Aluminum Tariffs

25% on steel, 10% on aluminum; exemptions for ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada & ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico pending NAFTA talks.

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico calls move โ€œunjustifiedโ€.
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan seeks WTO consultation.
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany urges ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EU-wide response.
April 8โ€“14

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. doubles down with new tariffs on Chinese EVs and solar panels.

  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China threatens rare earth export restrictions.
April 9โ€“15

Global escalation, partial pause

Trump announces reciprocal tariffs globally, but suspends most for 90 days โ€” except ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China.

April 15

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada pauses tariffs on critical ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. goods Aimed at protecting its manufacturing sector.

April 15โ€“21

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EU imposes retaliatory tariffs on ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. digital services and luxury goods.

Apple, Meta, and high-end fashion brands take a hit.

April 22โ€“28

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India introduces subsidies for domestic manufacturing in response to global trade instability.

  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China vows โ€œnecessary countermeasuresโ€
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Australia warns of global slowdown
May 28โ€“29

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. courts strike down key tariffs on Canadian goods Temporarily reinstated on appeal.

May 29 โ€“ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China IP Tariffs

Trump revives threat of $50B in tariffs targeting Chinese tech and IP violations.

  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China cancels trade talks.
  • ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Singapore warns of regional instability.
June 1 โ€“ Tariffs Enacted

Steel/aluminum tariffs take effect for ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EU, ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada, ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico. Exemptions revoked.

  • ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EU imposes retaliatory tariffs.
  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada announces $16.6B in countermeasures.
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico targets pork, whiskey, steel.
June 16โ€“29

G7 Summit in Alberta

Trump and PM Carney set 30-day goal for a trade deal, but talks stall over ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canadaโ€™s tech tax.

July 6 โ€“ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China Tariffs Begin

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. imposes 25% tariffs on $34B of Chinese goods; ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China responds in kind.

  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China accuses ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. of โ€œtrade bullyingโ€.
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท South Korea urges de-escalation.
July 12

Trump announces 30% tariffs on ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico Set to take effect August 1, targeting autos and fentanyl-related goods.

July 31 โ€“ ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico deal extended, ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada talks collapse

Trump proposes 25% tariffs on $200B of Chinese imports, up from original 10% plan.

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico: 25% tariffs on cars and fentanyl goods remain.
  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada: Trump threatens 35% tariffs on non-CUSMA goods; new 50% tariffs on semi-finished copper announced.
August 1 โ€“ Threat of More Tariffs

Trump proposes 25% tariffs on $200B of Chinese imports, up from original 10% plan.

  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China vows โ€œnecessary countermeasuresโ€.
  • ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Australia warns of global slowdown.
August 6

The ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. doubled down on its trade penalties, bringing the total tariff rate on ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ Indian goods to 50%.

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India hit with additional 25% tariff over Russian oil ties.
August 7

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. launches Turnberry system, a new framework aimed at enforcing trade compliance and national security.

Sweeping tariff expansion targeting over 60 countries.

August 29

De Minimis exemption ends for low-value imports. Trump proposed 25% tariffs on $200B of Chinese imports, up from original 10% plan.

Fast fashion and e-commerce platforms (like fast fashion from Shein and Temu) face new tariffs.

September 1

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada Lifts Retaliatory Tariffs on CUSMA-Compliant ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. Goods

A major shift in ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canadaโ€™s trade stance, though tariffs on steel, aluminum, and autos remain in place

September 3 โ€” ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EU Probes ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Chinese Solar Panel Dumping

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EU launches investigation into low-cost ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Chinese solar panels, citing market distortion.

September 5 โ€” ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China Tariffs Australian Lithium

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China imposes 10% tariff on lithium from Australia in response to foreign investment curbs.

September 7 โ€” ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India Raises Dairy Tariffs

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India hikes tariffs on dairy imports to protect local producers ahead of festive season.

September 8

$80M Tariff Relief Fund for Atlantic ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada

Carney unveiled an $80M relief fund for small and medium-sized businesses in Atlantic ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada affected by ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. tariffs.

September 8 โ€” ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. Updates Tariff List

New executive order exempts key minerals and pharma; adds items like aluminum hydroxide and silicone.

September 9 โ€” WTO Panel on ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท Brazilโ€“๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EU Beef Dispute

WTO forms panel to review ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท Brazilโ€™s complaint over ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EU beef import restrictions.

September 11

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan agrees to invest $550 billion in ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S.-selected infrastructure and manufacturing projects.

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan gets 15% tariffs for $550B investment; profit split shifts from 50/50 to 90/10 favoring ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. after payback.

September 16

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. imposed a baseline 15% tariff on most ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japanese Goods

  • The rule applies retroactively to Aug. 7, 2025, with importers able to adjust filings.
  • Autos/parts follow the same 15% rule
  • Civil aircraft/parts are exempt from extra duties.
September 22

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canadian Tariff Enforcement Tightens on steel and aluminum from ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China

Official certificates of origin required for ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Chinese goods containing steel or aluminum, which already have a 25% tariff.

September 22

๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Turkey announced it is ending certain tariffs imposed on ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. imports back in 2018.

The move is a signal of easing trade tensions, timed ahead of President ErdoฤŸanโ€™s trip to the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S.

September 24

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. implements ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EU auto/auto parts tariff cut

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. reduced tariff on ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EU autos and auto parts from 25% to 15%, retroactive to August 1, 2025.

September 26

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Trump announces new tariffs on drugs to begin October 1

100% tariff on branded or patented pharmaceutical imports (unless the company is building a ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. facility)

September 26

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Trump announces new tariffs on trucks to begin November 1

25% tariff on heavy trucks

September 26

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Trump announces new tariffs on furniture to begin October 1

50% tariff on kitchen cabinets and bathroom vanities.

30% on upholstered furniture.

September 27

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China and ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India announce 300% tariffs on ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. burgers, targeting McDonaldโ€™s.โ€

September 30

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. announces 100% tariff on all foreign-made movies. No start date set.

October 1

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. shelved plans to impose 100% tariffs on generic drug imports.

October 9

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China announced new export restrictions on rare earths and related technologies.

Foreign firms required to obtain licenses for exports involving ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Chinese-derived materials or production technology, with full enforcement slated for December 1.

October 10 – ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S.โ€“๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China Tariff Surge

Trump imposed an additional 100% tariff on ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Chinese imports, citing retaliation for ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Chinaโ€™s expanded export controls on rare earth elements.

The ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. will also restrict exports of โ€œany and all critical softwareโ€ to ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China

Nasdaq dropped 3.6%, S&P 500 fell 2.7% following the announcement.

October 17

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ United States โ€” New Truck and Bus Tariffs

25% tariffs on imported medium/heavy trucks.

10% on buses.

Takes effect November 1, 2025

October 20

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada announced tariff relief on select steel & aluminum imports from the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. and ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Effective October 15.

Applies to products not domestically available or needed for health/security sectors.

Details to be published by November 5.

October 23

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada Limits Tariff-Free ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. Vehicle Imports

โš–๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada imposes new caps on tariff-free imports from Stellantis and GM, enforcing trade deal rules and responding to reduced ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canadian manufacturing.

October 23

Stellantis Tariff-Free Imports Slashed by 50%

โš–๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada reduces Stellantisโ€™ tariff-free vehicle quota by 50%, citing the companyโ€™s decision to move Jeep Compass production to the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S.

October 23

GM Quota Cut by 24.2% Over BrightDrop Exit

โš–๏ธ GMโ€™s tariff-free import quota is reduced by 24.2% after ending BrightDrop electric van production in ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Ontario.

October 23 — The Reagan Ad Retaliation

On October 16, ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Ontario aired a ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. TV ad quoting Ronald Reaganโ€™s anti-tariff speech.

๐Ÿ›‘ Trump terminated all ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S.โ€“๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada trade negotiations.

A new 35% tariff was imposed on ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canadian importsโ€”automotive, steel, agriculture.

October 25

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. Shock Tariff on ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canada

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Trump imposes a 10% tariff on ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Canadian imports in retaliation for Ontarioโ€™s Reagan-themed ad. Lumber and wood products hit immediately.

October 29

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Fentanyl & Rare Earth Shift

๐Ÿ“‰ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Trump reduced tariffs on fentanyl-linked imports after talks with ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Xi. The meeting also yielded a rare earth minerals agreement, easing trade tensions.


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